During the latest monitoring by the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) of the said Tropical Depression at 10:00 last night, November 3, 2024, its center was located 1,065 kilometers east of Eastern Visayas, still outside of the PAR (11.1°N, 135.5°E).
It carries winds of 55 kilometers per hour near the center with gustiness up to 70 kilometers per hour, and a central pressure of 1004 hPa.
It is moving at a speed of 45 kilometers per hour northwest, and its strong winds extend up to a distance of 380 kilometers from the center.
The typhoon is expected to enter the PAR on November 4, 2024 and will be given the name Marce. Its movement towards the northwest will continue until Tuesday, November 5, 2024, before it slows down and moves westward.
From Wednesday, November 6, 2024, until the end of the forecast period, the typhoon will move north-northwestward, and westward over the Philippine Sea north of Northern Luzon.
Two scenarios are possible - the typhoon moving westward towards the north of Northern Luzon or mainland Luzon, or the typhoon changing direction over the Philippine Sea north of Northern Luzon.
As Typhoon Marce moves within the PAR, it could strengthen the surge of northeasterly wind flow this week. It will bring heavy rainfall over the northern tip of Northern Luzon and the eastern part of Luzon starting on November 4 or November 5.
If it makes landfall in Northern Luzon, there will be very heavy rainfall over Northern Luzon on Thursday, November 7, 2024 or Friday, November 8, 2024. This could lead to flooding and landslides in the area.
The typhoon and northeasterly wind flow will also worsen sea conditions, and travelers and fishermen are advised to postpone their voyages.
(Photos from PAGASA)
